商品价格全面爆发！有色矿业ETF招商、矿业ETF涨超3%，年涨幅超100%

Group 1: Commodity Price Surge - International copper futures rose by 4%, reaching 89,160 yuan [1] - Spot gold increased by over 1%, surpassing $4,530 per ounce, with a year-to-date gain of over 72%, potentially marking the best annual performance since 1979 [2] - Spot silver broke through $75 per ounce, achieving a historical high, with a year-to-date increase of 160% [2] Group 2: Market Performance and ETFs - A-shares of companies like Yongxing Materials and Jiangxi Copper hit the daily limit, while others like Zhongjin Resources and Tongling Nonferrous Metals rose over 5% [2] - Mining ETFs and non-ferrous mining ETFs saw gains of over 3%, with year-to-date increases exceeding 100% [2][3] - The Mining ETF managed by Guotai Fund has an estimated scale of 981 million yuan, with a year-to-date increase of 103.43% [3] Group 3: Industry Outlook - Huolong Securities noted a weakening negative correlation between gold and long-term U.S. Treasury yields, suggesting a strengthening of gold's status as a safe-haven asset [3] - Dongfang Securities indicated that the equity performance of gold, copper, aluminum, and iron has lagged behind commodity prices, with expectations for mid-term price increases as commodity prices continue to rise [3] - Guoxin Securities highlighted that the processing fee for copper concentrate contracts will drop to zero by 2026, reflecting a supply-demand mismatch in the copper mining and smelting industry [4] Group 4: Supply and Demand Dynamics - Fangzheng Securities expects continued upward momentum in copper and aluminum prices, driven by global copper inventory adjustments and supply shortages [5] - The anticipated tightening of copper supply is projected, with refined copper demand growth expected to outpace supply growth in 2026 [5] - The Federal Reserve's expected easing of monetary policy may further support copper prices, as historical trends show price increases following the end of Fed rate-cutting cycles [5]