Qi Lu Wan Bao·2025-12-26 10:02Core Viewpoint - The gold market in 2025 has experienced an unprecedented surge, with international gold prices rising from $2,600 per ounce at the beginning of the year to $4,500 per ounce by December, marking an increase of over 70% [2][4]. Price Surge - Domestic gold jewelry prices have also seen significant increases, with prices per gram rising from around 800 yuan to over 1,400 yuan, and some high-end products exceeding 2,000 yuan per gram [2]. - The gold price has shown a remarkable increase of nearly 72% within a year, leading to a consumer rush driven by the mentality of "buying on the rise" [2]. Historical Context - The last time gold experienced such a dramatic annual increase was in the 1970s, but the current market dynamics are influenced by different factors, including geopolitical uncertainties and a weakening dollar [4]. - The World Gold Council attributes the strong performance of gold in 2025 to a combination of geopolitical and economic uncertainties, a weaker dollar, and the momentum of rising gold prices [4]. Consumer Behavior - The low-interest-rate environment has led to a shift in consumer behavior, with younger generations adopting new investment strategies, such as the "new three gold" model, which includes gold ETFs [5]. - There is a growing trend towards smaller gold items and high-premium ancient gold products, reflecting a change in consumer preferences [6]. Industry Dynamics - The continuous rise in gold prices has created challenges for downstream retail businesses, leading to high inventory levels and increased operational pressures [8]. - Upstream mining companies have benefited from the price surge, with major firms reporting significant profit increases, prompting them to expand resource acquisitions through mergers and acquisitions [7]. Retail Challenges - Retailers are facing multiple pressures, including high inventory levels and the need to close down franchise stores, as seen with major brands like Chow Tai Fook [8]. - Banks are also adjusting their gold investment thresholds in response to market risks, raising minimum investment amounts for gold accumulation plans [9]. Investment Risks - The surge in gold prices has led to risky investment behaviors, such as using consumer loans to purchase gold, which poses significant risks to investors [10]. - The phenomenon of bidding on judicial auction platforms for gold bars has created both opportunities and risks, with some investors experiencing significant losses due to impulsive bidding [10].