四点半观市 | 机构：中国股市涨势有望在2026年延续

Market Performance - The A-share market continued its upward trend, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3963.68 points, up 0.10%, marking the longest consecutive rise of the year with eight trading days [1] - The CSI Convertible Bond Index fell by 0.04% to 493.25 points, with notable gains in Jia Mei Convertible Bond (up 17.64%) and Meng Sheng Convertible Bond (up 14.80%) [1] Bond Market - The 30-year Treasury futures main contract rose by 0.36%, closing at 112.960 yuan, while the 10-year Treasury futures increased by 0.10% to 108.300 yuan [1] ETF Performance - On December 26, various ETFs showed mixed results, with the Hang Seng ETF (159312) rising by 7.18% and the Mining ETF (561330) increasing by 4.25%, while the Semiconductor Equipment ETF (561980) fell by 1.59% [2] International Markets - Major indices in Japan and South Korea closed higher, with the Nikkei 225 up 0.68% and the KOSPI up 0.51%, reflecting a positive trend in the region [2] Fund Flows - The top ten stocks by net capital inflow included companies like Sunshine Power and BYD, with several firms in the lithium battery sector such as Duo Fluorine and Tianji Shares [3] Institutional Insights - Analysts from GF Fund highlighted that equity assets still offer better expected returns compared to bonds and deposits, with a favorable outlook for sectors like AI and industries benefiting from a recovery [4] - UBS Wealth Management's CIO office expressed optimism for the Chinese stock market in 2026, driven by advanced manufacturing and technology self-reliance, despite potential geopolitical volatility [4]