Baxter(US:BAX) ZACKS·2025-12-26 13:21Core Insights - Baxter International (BAX) is undergoing a transition after divesting its Kidney Care segment, facing near-term execution challenges while exploring long-term structural opportunities [2] - The company's shares have decreased by 37.1% over the past six months, contrasting with a 4.6% decline in the industry and a 9% increase in the S&P 500 Index [3] Positive Factors Driving Prospects - The Advanced Surgery business has shown strong performance, achieving 11% global growth in Q3 due to high demand for hemostats and sealants, alongside steady procedural volumes [4] - Healthcare Systems & Technologies reported a 30% year-over-year increase in U.S. capital orders, indicating robust demand for surgical solutions and a strong hospital presence [4] - Management's decision to significantly reduce dividends starting in 2026 aims to prioritize deleveraging, potentially freeing over $300 million annually to enhance financial flexibility [5] - The introduction of Baxter GPS, a growth and performance system, emphasizes operational discipline and continuous improvement across divisions [9] Key Challenges - The ongoing disruption related to the Novum IQ large-volume pump is a significant operational challenge, with delays expected to extend beyond 2025, impacting sales and customer confidence [10] - Demand for IV solutions in the U.S. remains below pre-Hurricane Helene levels due to fluid conservation practices, with gradual recovery anticipated, complicating near-term growth forecasts [11] - The Pharmaceuticals segment is experiencing margin pressure as growth shifts towards lower-margin compounding services, while higher-margin products face softness, particularly in the U.S. [12] Estimate Trend - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 revenues is projected at $11.07 billion, reflecting a 13.9% decline from the previous year [13] - The consensus estimate for adjusted earnings per share (EPS) is $2.36, indicating a 24.9% increase from the prior year [13]