早盘：美股小幅下滑 纳指下跌约0.2%

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. stock market is experiencing slight declines post-Christmas, but major indices are expected to achieve weekly gains, with the S&P 500 index up 1.4% this week, potentially marking its fourth weekly increase in five weeks [3][4][8]. Market Performance - The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 37.49 points (0.08%) to 48,693.67 points, the Nasdaq dropped by 39.94 points (0.17%) to 23,573.36 points, and the S&P 500 decreased by 4.25 points (0.06%) to 6,927.80 points [3][8]. - Precious metals continue to rise, with gold and silver prices reaching historical highs due to worsening geopolitical tensions and a weakening dollar [3][4][8]. Seasonal Trends - Investors are currently in a historically strong seasonal window, anticipating a "Santa Claus rally," which typically occurs in the last five trading days of the year and the first two trading days of the new year. Since 1950, the S&P 500 has averaged a 1.3% increase during this period [3][4][8]. Future Predictions - Wall Street anticipates that the AI boom and potential Federal Reserve interest rate cuts will support continued gains in the S&P 500, although inflation, high valuations, and geopolitical tensions may pose risks for market corrections [4][9]. - Ed Yardeni, a prominent market commentator, predicts the S&P 500 will reach 7,700 points by 2026 and 10,000 points by 2029, while also forecasting gold prices could hit $10,000 per ounce by the end of the decade [5][10].