Wall Street Analysts Think Toast (TOST) Is a Good Investment: Is It?

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the reliability of brokerage recommendations and their influence on stock prices, specifically focusing on Toast (TOST) and the average brokerage recommendation (ABR) for the stock [1][5]. Brokerage Recommendation Summary - Toast has an average brokerage recommendation (ABR) of 1.79, indicating a rating between Strong Buy and Buy, based on recommendations from 29 brokerage firms [2]. - Out of the 29 recommendations, 17 are classified as Strong Buy, while one is classified as Buy, representing 58.6% and 3.5% of total recommendations respectively [2]. Analyst Bias and Investment Decisions - Brokerage firms often exhibit a positive bias in their ratings due to vested interests, leading to a higher number of favorable ratings compared to negative ones [6][11]. - The article suggests that relying solely on ABR for investment decisions may not be advisable, as studies indicate that brokerage recommendations do not effectively guide investors towards stocks with high price appreciation potential [5][11]. Zacks Rank Comparison - Zacks Rank is introduced as a more reliable tool for stock evaluation, categorizing stocks from Strong Buy to Strong Sell based on earnings estimate revisions, which have shown a strong correlation with near-term stock price movements [8][12]. - The Zacks Rank is distinct from ABR, as it is based on quantitative models and is updated more frequently to reflect current market conditions [10][13]. Current Earnings Estimates for Toast - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Toast's current year earnings remains unchanged at $1.04, indicating steady analyst views on the company's earnings prospects [14]. - Due to the unchanged consensus estimate and other factors, Toast holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), suggesting a cautious approach despite the Buy-equivalent ABR [15].