MSFT vs. ORCL: Which Enterprise Cloud & AI Stock Has Better Upside?
ZACKS·2025-12-26 16:31

Core Insights - Microsoft and Oracle are leading players in the enterprise cloud and AI sectors, investing billions in AI infrastructure to meet rising demand from hyperscalers and enterprise clients [1] - Both companies reported strong fiscal results, with Microsoft achieving 18% revenue growth and Oracle 14% revenue growth in their latest quarters, driven by cloud adoption and AI workload expansion [2] Microsoft (MSFT) Overview - Microsoft Cloud revenues exceeded $49 billion, growing 26% year over year, with Azure and other cloud services increasing approximately 40% [4] - The company announced $23 billion in new AI investments, including significant investments in India and Canada, to enhance its cloud capacity and meet global AI demand [5] - Microsoft’s partnership with Cognizant enhances its AI capabilities across various sectors, and the company plans to increase Microsoft 365 pricing, indicating strong pricing power [6] - Management projects Intelligent Cloud revenues of $32.25 billion to $32.55 billion with 26-27% growth for the second quarter of fiscal 2026 [7] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for MSFT's fiscal 2026 earnings is $15.61 per share, indicating a 14.44% year-over-year growth [8] Oracle (ORCL) Overview - Oracle's cloud infrastructure grew 68% in the second quarter of fiscal 2026, with total cloud revenues reaching $8 billion, up 34% year over year [9] - Remaining performance obligations surged to $523 billion, driven by contracts with major companies like Meta, NVIDIA, and OpenAI, providing significant revenue visibility [10] - Oracle's multicloud strategy is gaining traction, with a notable increase in its multicloud database business, which surged 817% in the second quarter [11] - The company expects approximately $50 billion in capital expenditures for fiscal 2026, leading to negative free cash flow as it scales its datacenter capacity [13] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for ORCL's fiscal 2026 earnings is $7.33 per share, suggesting a 21.56% growth over the previous fiscal year [14] Valuation and Performance Comparison - Microsoft trades at a forward P/E ratio of 28.8, while Oracle trades at 25.38, reflecting premium valuations due to AI growth expectations [15] - Microsoft shares have decreased by 5.2% over the past three months, while Oracle shares have experienced a significant decline of 30.2% due to financing concerns [18] Conclusion - Microsoft is positioned as a superior investment choice for exposure to enterprise cloud and AI, with a diversified business model and strong growth prospects [20] - Oracle, while showing impressive growth in cloud infrastructure, faces challenges related to financing and converting its backlog into profitable revenues [20]