ADBE vs. GOOGL: Which AI-Driven Tech Stock Has an Edge Now?
ZACKS·2025-12-26 17:41

Core Insights - Adobe and Alphabet are integrating artificial intelligence into their core products, enhancing their market presence among business, creative, and marketing professionals [1] - Investments in AI solutions are projected to generate a cumulative global impact of $22.3 trillion by 2030, representing approximately 3.7% of global GDP, which is favorable for both companies' stock performance [2] Adobe Insights - Adobe is experiencing strong demand for its AI-powered products, including Creative Cloud Pro and Acrobat, and aims for a 10.2% annual recurring revenue growth by fiscal 2026 [2] - The company is enhancing its marketing capabilities through the Adobe Experience platform and has made strategic acquisitions, such as Semrush, to bolster its AI-driven customer experience solutions [3] - For fiscal 2025, Adobe anticipates total revenues between $25.9 billion and $26.1 billion, with subscription revenues from Business Professionals and Consumers projected at $7.35 billion to $7.4 billion, and Creative and Marketing Professionals at $17.75 billion to $17.9 billion [4] Alphabet Insights - Alphabet is embedding AI into its Search and Google Cloud services, with the launch of Gemini 3 enhancing user experience and ad performance [5][7] - The Google Cloud Platform is seeing robust demand for enterprise AI infrastructure, with revenues from products developed on Google's Gen AI models increasing over 200% year-over-year in Q3 2025 [6] - Alphabet's capital expenditures are expected to rise significantly, with projections between $91 billion and $93 billion for 2025, up from a previous estimate of $85 billion [8] Earnings and Stock Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Alphabet's 2025 earnings is $10.58 per share, indicating a 31.6% increase from 2024, while Adobe's estimate has declined to $23.44 per share, suggesting 12% growth [9][10] - Both companies have consistently beaten earnings estimates, but Alphabet's average surprise of 18.74% outperforms Adobe's 2.25% [11] - Over the past year, Alphabet's stock has surged 63%, while Adobe's stock has decreased by 20.9%, indicating diverging investor sentiment [12] Valuation Insights - Both companies are considered overvalued, with Alphabet trading at a forward price/sales ratio of 9.79X compared to Adobe's 5.65X [15] - Currently, both Adobe and Alphabet hold a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [18]