Adobe Stock Rides on Expanding Partner Base: Is There More Upside?

Core Insights - Adobe's prospects are bolstered by an expanding partner base, including major players like Amazon Web Services, Microsoft Azure, Google, and OpenAI [1][10] - The launch of Premiere Mobile in Q4 FY2025 enhances Adobe's position in AI video editing, supported by partnerships with Google and YouTube [2] - A strategic partnership with Runaway allows Adobe to integrate advanced video technology into its offerings, making Runaway's latest models available to Adobe clients [3] Financial Performance - Adobe reported annual recurring revenues (ARR) of $25.2 billion for FY2025, reflecting an 11.5% year-over-year growth, with expectations to reach $25.6 billion by the end of FY2026 [4][10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Q1 FY2026 revenues is projected at $6.28 billion, indicating a 9.89% increase from the previous year, while earnings are expected to grow by 15.4% to $5.86 per share [15] Competitive Landscape - Adobe's AI business remains small compared to competitors like Microsoft and Alphabet, which have significantly larger user bases and revenue streams from AI services [5][6][7] - Microsoft has 900 million monthly active users of AI features, while Alphabet's AI Mode has over 75 million daily active users [6][7] Stock Performance and Valuation - Adobe's stock has declined by 21.6% over the past year, underperforming the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector, which returned 22.9% [8] - The stock is currently trading at a premium, with a trailing price/book ratio of 12.71 compared to the sector's 10.76 [12]