尾盘：美股基本持平 三大股指本周均有望录得涨幅

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. stock market is showing signs of a potential "Santa Claus rally" as traders return post-Christmas, with major indices expected to record gains for the week [1][8]. Market Performance - The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 64.11 points, a decrease of 0.13%, closing at 48,667.05 points; the Nasdaq increased by 8.06 points, up 0.03%, closing at 23,621.37 points; the S&P 500 dropped by 1.97 points, down 0.03%, closing at 6,930.08 points [3][10]. - The S&P 500 reached an intraday high of 6,945.77 points, marking a new record [4][10]. - The S&P 500 has risen by 1.4% this week, potentially achieving its fourth weekly gain in the last five weeks, with both the Dow and Nasdaq also up over 1% [4][10]. Economic Indicators - Precious metals continue to rise sharply, driven by worsening geopolitical tensions and a weakening U.S. dollar, with both gold and silver prices hitting new historical highs [4][10]. - There were no significant economic data releases or major corporate earnings reports during the holiday-shortened trading week [6][12]. Investor Sentiment - Wall Street anticipates that the AI boom and potential Federal Reserve interest rate cuts will support continued gains in the S&P 500, although concerns about inflation, high valuations, and geopolitical tensions may lead to market corrections [5][11]. - Less than 15% of traders are betting on a Federal Reserve rate cut next month, with increasing divergence in market opinions regarding the Fed's monetary policy direction for March [12]. Long-term Predictions - Ed Yardeni, a prominent market commentator, predicts that the S&P 500 could reach 7,700 points by 2026 and 10,000 points by 2029, driven by economic resilience and productivity gains related to the digital revolution and AI [7][12]. - Yardeni also forecasts that gold prices could reach $10,000 per ounce by the end of the decade [7][12].