白银周涨逾18% 分析师预测银价有望冲击每盎司300美元

Core Viewpoint - The international precious metals futures market experienced a significant rally, driven by expectations of monetary policy easing, escalating geopolitical tensions, and increased capital flow regulations by central banks to address inflation and financial stability challenges [3]. Group 1: Market Performance - COMEX gold futures rose by 1.31% to $4,562.00 per ounce, with a weekly increase of 3.98% [1]. - COMEX silver futures surged by 11.15% to $79.68 per ounce, achieving a weekly gain of 18.06% [1]. Group 2: Market Drivers - The demand for safe-haven assets like gold and silver is being supported by rising geopolitical risks and low market liquidity as the year-end approaches [3]. - A significant factor in silver's recent price surge is the supply mismatch following a historic "short squeeze" event in October, compounded by speculative inflows [3]. Group 3: Long-term Outlook - Analyst Peter Krauth is optimistic about silver's long-term prospects, predicting a potential rise to $300 per ounce, driven by supply-demand imbalances and a significant correction in the gold-silver ratio [4]. - Krauth's forecast is based on the expectation that the gold-silver ratio, which has decreased from a peak of 104 to around 68, will further decline to 15 during a forthcoming market "frenzy" phase [4]. - Factors such as a weakening dollar, high government deficits, inflation concerns, and geopolitical risks are also seen as catalysts for the current precious metals rally [4].