武兴锋：资管行业正处于从“规模导向”向“价值导向”转型关键阶段

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese wealth management industry is transitioning from a "scale-oriented" approach to a "value-oriented" strategy, driven by low interest rates, tightening regulations, and narrowing returns on quality assets, which presents both challenges and opportunities for sustainable development [3][9][20] Funding Side - As of November 2025, the bank wealth management market's outstanding scale reached 31.67 trillion yuan, and public fund scale surpassed 36 trillion yuan, indicating steady expansion in the asset management industry [4][14] - The shift in residents' wealth allocation is deepening, with a trend towards financial assets as GDP per capita exceeds $10,000, aligning with national strategies to increase property income [4][14] - With over 60 trillion yuan in fixed deposits maturing by 2026, the low interest rate environment is expected to accelerate the shift of funds towards financial products, laying a solid foundation for industry growth [4][14] Asset Side - Wealth management institutions face multiple pressures in investment operations, particularly in the bond market, where volatility has increased, challenging traditional "buy and hold" strategies [5][15] - The A-share market is expected to show a slow bull trend in 2025, with significant structural differentiation, particularly in new economy sectors like AI and high-end manufacturing, requiring institutions to enhance their research depth and risk control [5][15] - Institutions need to focus on core capabilities, enhancing research and investment capabilities, and innovating products to transition from "scale competition" to "value creation" [6][16][20] Investment Research Capability - Institutions should develop a "multi-asset, multi-strategy" approach to adapt to the dual pressures of low interest rates and asset scarcity, utilizing diverse tools to enhance returns and manage risks [6][17] - Establishing a macro-factor-driven asset allocation framework and a standardized, results-oriented research system is essential for effective investment management [6][17][18] - Implementing suitability management is crucial for protecting consumer rights and ensuring appropriate product matching for investors [7][18] Product Development - Institutions must innovate product forms and integrate them with various investment scenarios to meet diverse investor needs [8][19] - Focusing on national strategies, institutions should expand product lines in areas like pension, inclusive finance, green finance, and digital finance, thereby supporting the real economy and enhancing long-term capital market stability [8][19]