Group 1 - The market is no longer focused on a single narrative, with new investment themes emerging as the A-share market experiences a gradual upward trend, indicating a cross-year market rally [2][12][34] - The recent price increase across various industry chains is driven primarily by rising raw material costs, with companies adopting strategies such as voluntary production cuts and joint price increases to maintain competitive order [3][14][16] - The new external circulation pattern is leading to a new cycle of RMB appreciation, driven by factors such as the weakening dollar and seasonal capital inflows, with historical trends suggesting limited impact on export competitiveness [4][21][23][25] Group 2 - A new investment theme for 2026 is emerging, characterized by increased physical consumption across industry chains and a prolonged trading range for bulk commodities, highlighting China's manufacturing advantages [6][29][37] - Recommended sectors include industrial resource products that resonate with AI investment and global manufacturing recovery, as well as Chinese equipment export chains and domestic manufacturing sectors poised for recovery [6][29][37] - The consumer recovery channel is expected to benefit from inbound tourism and rising household income, with sectors such as aviation, hotels, and food and beverage showing potential [6][29][37]
国金策略:跨年行情缓步开启,新的主线浮出水面