2025年香港经济预计增长3.2% 连续三年保持增长

Economic Growth Outlook - Hong Kong's economy is projected to grow by 3.2% in 2025, slightly higher than earlier forecasts, marking the third consecutive year of growth [1] - Key drivers of economic growth include strong export performance, solid fixed capital investment, and a stable consumption environment [1] Asset Market Performance - The Hong Kong stock market has shown significant improvement, with an average daily trading volume of nearly 260 billion HKD in the first 11 months of the year [1] - Initial Public Offering (IPO) fundraising has reached over 270 billion HKD, ranking first globally, with four listings among the top ten new stocks worldwide [1] - Follow-up financing for listed companies exceeded 510 billion HKD during the same period [1] - Net inflow of funds into Securities and Futures Commission-recognized funds registered in Hong Kong surpassed 41 billion USD in the first nine months, more than 1.5 times last year's total [1] Real Estate Market Trends - The residential property market remains active, with nearly 57,000 transactions recorded in the first 11 months, a year-on-year increase of approximately 16% [2] - Residential property prices rose by about 3%, while rental prices increased by around 4%, with positive market sentiment regarding the residential sector [2] - The office market also showed improvement, with transaction volume increasing by 74% in the first ten months compared to the previous year, and a slight decrease in vacancy rates for Grade A offices [2] Export and Investment Performance - Overall exports from Hong Kong performed well in the first three quarters of the year, with fixed capital investment rising by 2.5% during the same period [2] - Private consumption increased by 0.9% in the first three quarters, reversing the decline seen in the same period last year, benefiting from the recovery in the asset market and improved market sentiment [2] Future Economic Development - The outlook for Hong Kong's economy remains positive, with expectations of continued momentum into 2026, coinciding with the start of the national "14th Five-Year Plan" [2] - Hong Kong aims to enhance its role as an international financial center, accelerate the development of a world-class innovation and technology hub, and improve its international trade center functions [2] - The integration into national development strategies is expected to yield better development outcomes for Hong Kong, creating more quality job opportunities and benefiting the public [2]