中信证券:2026年春节白酒实际动销有望维持平稳 看好白酒行业底部配置机会
智通财经网·2025-12-29 01:49

Group 1: Core Insights - Leading liquor companies are holding important meetings to convey their commitment to adjustments, reforms, and channel rebalancing, which is beneficial for the long-term healthy development of the industry [2] - The white liquor sector has seen major companies implementing measures to control shipments, reduce burdens on distributors, and promote sales, aimed at lowering channel inventory [2][3] - The company anticipates that the actual sales of white liquor during the 2026 Spring Festival will remain stable, supported by various factors including a longer holiday and improved consumption scenarios [3] Group 2: White Liquor Sector Analysis - The current price-to-earnings ratio (TTM) for the white liquor sector is approximately 20x, indicating it is at a mid-to-long-term bottom range, reflecting significant pessimistic expectations [3] - Shareholder returns for leading white liquor companies have been steadily increasing since 2024, with dividend rates generally above 65%, enhancing investment safety margins [3] Group 3: Beer Sector Analysis - The beer industry is experiencing a slight decline in production, with a total output of 33.18 million kiloliters from January to November 2025, down 0.3% year-on-year [4] - The industry remains highly concentrated, with competition shifting towards value chains and product quality, driven by consumer demand for high-quality products [4] - The beer sector is expected to see a mild recovery from a bottom position in 2026, with an overall trend of stable volume and price increases [4]

CITIC Securities Co., Ltd.-中信证券:2026年春节白酒实际动销有望维持平稳 看好白酒行业底部配置机会 - Reportify