一万亿顺差和工业利润下降，哪个是真实的中国？

Group 1 - In the first eleven months of 2025, the total profit of industrial enterprises above designated size in China reached 66,268.6 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year growth of 0.1% [1][17] - However, in November alone, the profit of industrial enterprises decreased by 13.1% year-on-year, indicating a potential decline in total profits for December 2025 [3][19] - The sectors experiencing the most significant profit declines include textiles (-8.2%), apparel (-27.1%), footwear (-15.7%), wood processing (-30.9%), and furniture manufacturing (-22.7%), which have historically been major contributors to China's export earnings [3][19] Group 2 - On a positive note, the profit of high-tech manufacturing industries increased by 10.0% year-on-year during the same period [4][20] - Industries related to the "Artificial Intelligence+" initiative saw remarkable profit growth, with electronic industrial equipment manufacturing profits rising by 57.4%, and semiconductor device manufacturing profits increasing by 97.2% [5][21] - The smart consumer device manufacturing sector also experienced significant growth, with profits increasing by 54.0%, including smart vehicle equipment (105.7%) and smart drones (76.6%) [5][21] Group 3 - China's trade surplus reached 1.08 trillion USD in the first eleven months of 2025, marking the first time it exceeded 1 trillion USD in history [6][23] - Exports to the EU amounted to 508.05 billion USD, a year-on-year increase of 8.1%, while exports to ASEAN reached 599.03 billion USD, growing by 13.7% [7][23] - Notably, exports of integrated circuits grew by 25.6% to 1.29 trillion yuan, and automotive exports increased by 17.6% to 896.91 billion yuan [7][23] Group 4 - The apparent contradiction between the trade surplus and declining industrial profits reflects a structural adjustment within the Chinese economy, transitioning from traditional sectors to emerging fields [9][25] - The ongoing "reconstruction" of the economy is characterized by the rise of high-tech manufacturing as a new driving force, while traditional industries face inevitable decline [11][26] - The depth and breadth of this reconstruction will determine the future landscape of the Chinese economy [15][30]