Jin Rong Jie·2025-12-29 03:01Group 1 - The Shanghai Composite Index opened lower but rose to challenge a nine-day winning streak, with strength in computing chip sectors. The semiconductor equipment ETF (561980) increased by 0.29%, with stocks like Cambricon and Liandong Technology rising over 4% [1] - The semiconductor equipment ETF (561980) has seen continuous capital inflow, with over 47 million yuan net inflow for two consecutive trading days [1] - According to a report by Chengtong Securities, semiconductor investments driven by AI should focus on two main lines: high-end logic chips and memory (HBM) that directly benefit from the surge in computing demand, and opportunities for domestic substitution in the semiconductor equipment sector [1] Group 2 - The storage market is experiencing price increases, with NAND flash wafer prices rising over 10% in December, and SSD prices increasing by 15% to 20%. Major suppliers like Samsung and SK Hynix have raised HBM3E prices by nearly 20% for 2026 [2] - Foundries are also raising prices, with SMIC implementing price increases of about 10% on some capacities [3] - The duration and magnitude of the storage price increase cycle have exceeded expectations, with projections for accelerated growth in domestic semiconductor equipment orders by 2026 due to AI demand driving global storage and advanced process capacity expansion [4] Group 3 - The global semiconductor equipment market is expected to grow significantly, with total sales projected to reach $133 billion by 2025, a 13.7% increase year-on-year, and further growth anticipated in the following years [5] - The domestic semiconductor equipment industry is seeing improvements in process coverage and market share, with domestic rates exceeding 50% in certain areas like etching and cleaning, while core high-end segments remain below 10%, indicating substantial room for domestic substitution [7] Group 4 - The semiconductor equipment ETF (561980) tracks the CSI semiconductor index, with nearly 60% of its components in "equipment" and over 90% in upstream sectors of the chip industry, highlighting significant domestic substitution potential [11] - The index focuses on leading companies in the sector, with the top ten holdings accounting for nearly 80% of the index, showing high elasticity characteristics. As of December 24, the CSI semiconductor index has seen a year-to-date increase of over 63% [11]