金鹰基金：流动性改善不改躁动趋势 核心围绕科技+制造方向

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced a strong upward trend, with the Shanghai Composite Index achieving its third consecutive eight-day rally since September 24, reaching a closing high not seen in over four years [1][6] - The market's momentum is supported by the continuous appreciation of the RMB and an influx of new capital, particularly in the technology sector, which has been the main driver of growth [1][6] - Daily trading volume increased to an average of 1.97 trillion yuan, indicating heightened market activity [1][6] Investment Sentiment - Despite some fluctuations in the year-end market, liquidity improvements have not altered the overall bullish trend [2][7] - Positive domestic fiscal and monetary policies are expected to support market conditions, alongside concentrated buying from private equity and favorable currency movements [2][7] - Upcoming events, such as the two sessions and Trump's visit to China in April, are anticipated to create favorable risk appetite [2][7] Sector Focus - The importance of corporate earnings is expected to return to the forefront, particularly in the technology and manufacturing sectors as January approaches [3][8] - Short-term opportunities may arise in sectors like pharmaceuticals and gaming, which are poised for earnings realization [3][8] - The aerospace and military sectors have shown concentrated performance recently, warranting close monitoring for further momentum [3][8] - Long-term investment themes include solid-state batteries, smart driving, and robotics, which are expected to enter early industrialization phases by 2026 [3][8] - The global manufacturing sector is projected to experience a synchronized recovery, benefiting from both fiscal and monetary easing [3][8] Liquidity and Investment Opportunities - Non-bank financial sectors, such as insurance and brokerage firms, are likely to benefit from liquidity-driven trends, while high-dividend stocks in banking and consumer sectors may also present opportunities [3][8]