债市早报：全国财政工作会议：扩大财政支出盘子，优化政府债券工具组合；资金面稳中偏宽，债市有所回暖

Group 1: Domestic Financial Policies - The National Financial Work Conference emphasized the continuation of a more proactive fiscal policy in 2026, expanding fiscal spending and optimizing government bond tools to enhance their effectiveness [2] - The National Venture Capital Guidance Fund has officially launched, with a total investment of 100 billion yuan from the central government, expected to leverage over a trillion yuan in social capital for strategic emerging industries [2] - The People's Bank of China highlighted the need to prevent and resolve financial risks in key areas, particularly in real estate, while implementing a more proactive macro policy [3] Group 2: Economic Performance - From January to November, the total profit of industrial enterprises above designated size reached 66,268.6 billion yuan, showing a slight year-on-year increase of 0.1% [3] - The final verified GDP for 2024 was announced as 1,348,066 billion yuan, a decrease of 1,018 billion yuan from the preliminary estimate, with a year-on-year growth of 5.0% [6] Group 3: Market Dynamics - The bond market showed signs of warming, with the yield on the 10-year government bond decreasing by 0.35 basis points to 1.8355% [12] - The convertible bond market experienced mixed performance, with the market index showing slight declines, while individual bonds like Jia Mei Convertible Bond rose over 17% [16] - The U.S. Treasury yields generally declined, with the 10-year yield falling by 1 basis point to 4.14% [19]