Core Viewpoint - The brokerage sector is experiencing a weak performance despite the overall market's potential for a strong run in 2026, with the average valuation of brokerages expected to have limited downside [3][4]. Group 1: Market Performance - On December 29, the Shanghai Composite Index aimed for a nine-day winning streak, while the brokerage sector showed volatility, with the top brokerage ETF (512000) declining by 0.85% and a half-day trading volume exceeding 700 million yuan [1]. - In December, brokerages did not follow the upward trend of equity indices, maintaining a relatively weak performance due to both industry fundamentals and market conditions [3]. Group 2: Future Outlook - The capital market is expected to maintain a relatively strong performance in 2026, with the brokerage sector likely to remain in an upward cycle, and the year-on-year pressure on brokerage earnings in Q1 2026 is anticipated to be lighter [3]. - The brokerage sector is currently in a low valuation phase, and if the valuation drops to 1.3x P/B, it could present a good opportunity for re-entry [4]. Group 3: Investment Strategies - Zhongyuan Securities suggests maintaining a close watch on policy, market conditions, and the brokerage sector for potential investment opportunities [4]. - The brokerage ETF (512000) and its associated funds are highlighted as efficient investment tools that provide exposure to both leading and smaller brokerages, with the ETF's latest fund size exceeding 40 billion yuan and an average daily trading volume of over 1 billion yuan this year [4].
ETF盘中资讯|沪指9连阳,滞涨券商爆冷回调,机构:低位蓄势,酝酿新机
Jin Rong Jie·2025-12-29 07:11