分布式储能遭遇成长烦恼：盈利模式单一与安全隐忧何解？

Core Insights - The report indicates that China's distributed energy storage capacity is expected to grow from 570 MW in 2019 to over 3638 MW by Q3 2025, representing a growth of more than five times, showcasing a strong development momentum [1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - Distributed energy storage has six main application scenarios, with commercial and industrial storage being the most mature, primarily benefiting from time-of-use electricity price arbitrage [1] - The rapid development of distributed energy storage is driven by both policy guidance and market mechanisms, with new applications like zero-carbon parks creating a strong demand for stable green electricity [2] - Distributed energy storage can alleviate local network congestion and enhance the self-consumption rate of local renewable energy, with expectations for broader application during the 14th Five-Year Plan period [3] Group 2: Challenges and Risks - The commercial viability of distributed energy storage is currently heavily reliant on time-of-use electricity price arbitrage, making it vulnerable to policy changes [4] - High development costs, safety issues, and low-quality competition are significant structural challenges facing the commercial storage sector [5][6] - The industry needs to transition from being a "price arbitrage tool" to a flexible resource with multiple values in the electricity market [7] Group 3: Future Outlook and Recommendations - The future of distributed energy storage will depend on policy support and technological advancements, with expectations for clearer market mechanisms in the next three years [7] - Recommendations include widening the time-of-use price gap, improving demand response mechanisms, and establishing safety standards to ensure basic profitability and safe operation of projects in the short term [8] - Long-term goals involve deepening electricity market reforms, exploring capacity value, and enhancing the economic viability and market competitiveness of distributed energy storage [8]