CoreWeave vs. Nebius: Which AI Infrastructure Stock is the Better Buy?

Core Insights - The AI infrastructure market is projected to grow from $60.23 billion in 2025 to $499.33 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 26.6% [2] - Companies like CoreWeave (CRWV) and Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS) are positioned as key players in the AI infrastructure space, focusing on GPU-based cloud services [1][3] CoreWeave (CRWV) - CRWV has experienced a 134% year-over-year revenue increase in Q3, driven by strong demand for its AI cloud platform and a robust backlog of $55.6 billion [5][7] - The company has secured significant contracts, including a multi-year deal with Meta worth up to $14.2 billion and an expanded partnership with OpenAI totaling approximately $22.4 billion [9] - Despite supply chain challenges affecting revenue guidance, CRWV remains confident in its operational agility and ability to scale infrastructure [4][10] Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS) - NBIS has raised its capital expenditure (CapEx) guidance to around $5 billion to expand its power capacity, but has faced delays that have lowered its 2025 revenue outlook to $500–$550 million [7][12][13] - The company has secured major contracts with Meta and Microsoft, valued between $3 billion and $19.4 billion, enhancing its revenue visibility [15] - NBIS is focused on expanding its data center capacity and enhancing its enterprise portfolio, with ambitious annual recurring revenue (ARR) goals of $900 million–$1.1 billion by the end of 2025 [13][15] Market Performance - In the past month, CRWV's stock has declined by 0.9%, while NBIS has seen a more significant drop of 12.6% [17] - Valuation metrics indicate that NBIS may be overvalued with a Price/Book ratio of 4.59X compared to CRWV's 9.63X, suggesting CRWV may be a more attractive investment option [18] Investment Outlook - Both companies are experiencing rapid growth, but CRWV currently leads in revenue generation and customer backlog, while NBIS is in a phase of aggressive expansion [22] - CRWV is viewed as a better investment option based on its stronger market position and growth potential, reflected in its Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) compared to NBIS's 4 (Sell) [23]