6 Chipmaker Stock Picks to Buy in 2026 As AI Capex Spending Nears $1T: BofA

Core Viewpoint - Bank of America presents a positive outlook on the AI market, predicting volatility but a strong finish to the year due to ongoing data center buildouts and increased manufacturing and equipment spending [1] Group 1: AI Market Evolution - The AI market is viewed as being approximately halfway through an eight- to ten-year evolution, with 2026 marking the midpoint [2] - In the latter half of this evolution, tech companies are expected to continue upgrading IT infrastructure and accelerating AI workloads [2] Group 2: Investment Opportunities - Bank of America identifies large-cap companies as prime beneficiaries of AI capital expenditure (capex), which could reach $1.2 trillion by 2030 [3] - Six chip stocks are highlighted as particularly well-positioned to benefit from this trend [3] Group 3: Stock Performance - The top six chip stocks identified include: - Nvidia: +41% year-to-date [6] - Broadcom: +52% year-to-date [6] - Lam Research: +146% year-to-date [6] - KLA Corporation: +103% year-to-date [6] - Analog Devices: +30% year-to-date [6] - Cadence Design Systems: +6% year-to-date [6] Group 4: Company Analysis - Broadcom is valued at 33 times its anticipated earnings for 2026, with a potential share price of $500 due to high profitability and impressive free cash flow [8] - Lam Research is seen as strategically positioned due to its essential equipment for chip fabs, despite potential tariff and inflation-related challenges [9] - KLA is noted for its leading profit margin among chipmakers, justifying a higher valuation multiple [10] - Cadence Design Systems is recognized as a top pick for Electronic Design Automation, although trade tensions with China pose risks [11] - Analog Devices has high free cash flow but may face challenges if economic downturns lead to reduced spending from automotive and industrial customers [11] Group 5: Overall Market Sentiment - Bank of America remains optimistic about chip stocks leading into 2026, believing that the critical nature of capex investments by major tech companies is underappreciated [12]