收官倒计时!A股跨年行情蓄势 如何调仓布局?
Guo Ji Jin Rong Bao·2025-12-29 17:26

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing a slight decline with over 3,000 stocks closing in the red, reflecting a year-end risk aversion among investors, leading to a shift towards low-valuation, high-dividend defensive sectors [3][13][15]. Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.04% to 3965.28 points, while the ChiNext Index fell by 0.66% to 3222.61 points, indicating a mixed performance across indices [4]. - Trading volume decreased by 234.5 billion yuan from the previous trading day, with a total turnover of 2.16 trillion yuan [4][10]. Sector Analysis - Defensive sectors such as oil and petrochemicals, banking, and agriculture showed positive performance, while sectors like non-ferrous metals, electric power equipment, and building materials experienced declines of over 1% [10][15]. - The oil and petrochemical sector saw a rise of 1.48%, while the defense industry increased by 1.43%, indicating strong interest in these areas [7][8]. Investment Strategy - Institutions are reallocating towards defensive assets with low valuations and high dividends as year-end approaches, suggesting a "barbell" strategy that balances growth and defensive investments [3][16]. - The market is expected to maintain a volatile yet stable trajectory as it approaches the end of the year, with a focus on structural opportunities amid the fluctuations [16][17]. Economic Context - The current market dynamics reflect the challenges faced by traditional industries during the economic transition, with a notable shift towards sectors that provide stability, such as energy and finance [15][18]. - The upcoming economic policies and market expectations are anticipated to influence investor sentiment and market performance in the near term [17][18].