记者手记·2025回望｜迷茫与无奈，乌克兰人在战火延宕中煎熬

Economic Impact - The ongoing conflict has led to a poverty rate in Ukraine reaching 36.9%, significantly higher than pre-conflict levels, with approximately one-quarter of Ukrainian families facing displacement and disability issues [1] - The National Bank of Ukraine has revised its economic growth forecast for 2025 from 4.3% to about 2% due to severe damage to infrastructure and reduced agricultural output [1] - Ukraine's national budget for 2026 indicates that defense spending is nearly equal to budget revenue, necessitating reliance on borrowing to sustain economic and social operations [1] Financial Assistance Needs - According to the International Monetary Fund, Ukraine requires approximately €450 billion in additional loans to cover fiscal shortfalls over the next two years, despite the European Union's recent approval of €90 billion in loans [1] Humanitarian Situation - The entire country is experiencing rolling blackouts and industrial power restrictions, with residents adapting to harsh conditions, such as using makeshift heating methods during power outages [2] Peace Negotiations - There is a prevailing sense of confusion and struggle regarding the prospects for peace, with ongoing negotiations between Ukraine and various international parties failing to reach consensus on key issues such as security guarantees and territorial disputes [3][4] - Recent discussions between Ukrainian President Zelensky and former U.S. President Trump indicated a superficial agreement on a "peace plan," but critical issues remain unresolved, leading to skepticism among the populace [3] Long-term Outlook - The conflict is expected to continue into its fifth year, with mixed sentiments among the population regarding the potential for resolution, reflecting a deep sense of uncertainty and prolonged suffering [5]