多重因素催化 大消费板块配置价值获看好
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao·2025-12-29 21:13

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the increasing attention and investment value in the consumer sector driven by multiple factors, including the expectation of consumption promotion policies, the closure of Hainan Free Trade Port, and the upcoming peak consumption season at the end of the year [1][2] - The Central Economic Work Conference emphasized the importance of domestic demand and proposed measures to boost consumption, which is expected to support the consumer sector's market performance in 2026 [1] - The retail sales of consumer goods from January to November showed a year-on-year growth of 4%, with service retail sales growing by 5.4%, indicating a higher relative prosperity in the service consumption sector compared to traditional goods [2] Group 2 - The current consumption trend is shifting from "consumption upgrade" to "consumption stratification," with consumers becoming more rational and price-sensitive, leading to increased interest in new products and services [3] - Investment recommendations for 2026 include focusing on high-end consumption sectors such as duty-free shopping, outbound tourism, and hotels, as well as industries with recovering demand like pig farming, dairy products, and the restaurant supply chain [3] - The upcoming winter tourism season is expected to boost interest in ice and snow tourism, with related sectors like hotels and duty-free retail being highlighted as having strong potential for investment [4]