新能源REITs底层资产为何扩容？

Core Viewpoint - The underlying assets of new energy REITs are diversifying from solely "wind and solar power stations" to include hydropower, as demonstrated by the recent expansion of the China Aviation Energy Photovoltaic REITs, which raised 2.92215 billion yuan and added hydropower assets to stabilize returns [2][3]. Group 1: Expansion and Financial Impact - The recent expansion raised 2.92215 billion yuan at a unit price of 9.712 yuan, adding two hydropower stations to the existing solar projects [2]. - The internal rate of return (IRR) is expected to increase from 1.29% to 3.94%, a rise of 2.65 percentage points due to the stable income from hydropower assets [2]. - The expansion aims to mitigate climate risks associated with relying solely on solar energy by diversifying into hydropower [2]. Group 2: Market Conditions and Risks - The revenue from new energy REITs is sensitive to policy changes, particularly regarding electricity prices and subsidies, which can significantly impact asset yield and valuation [3]. - The projects face a risk of a 60% decline in revenue starting in 2034 due to the reduction of national subsidies [4]. - The increasing number of new energy stations and grid absorption capacity will also affect revenue, as indicated by the impact of new solar projects on existing ones [4]. Group 3: Operational Considerations - Natural conditions, such as solar radiation levels, can affect the performance of photovoltaic stations, prompting the need for technical upgrades [5]. - The inclusion of hydropower is seen as a way to smooth out revenue fluctuations from solar energy, with specific hydropower stations designed to mitigate risks associated with low water flow during dry seasons [6]. Group 4: Investment Landscape - The expansion attracted eight strategic investors, including trust funds, insurance companies, and asset management firms, indicating strong institutional interest in the sector [7]. - Institutional investors prefer low-risk, stable-return products, making new energy REITs appealing, with expected internal rates of return typically between 5% and 10% [9]. - Prior to the emergence of new energy REITs, state-owned enterprises were the primary buyers of renewable energy assets, with significant acquisitions occurring post-2021 [10]. Group 5: Development Models and Challenges - Many private photovoltaic developers are adopting a "build-hold-sell" model to recycle capital, with companies like JinkoSolar reporting substantial revenues from their solar project operations [11]. - Challenges in asset securitization include lengthy approval processes and high compliance requirements, which can hinder the development of new energy projects [11].