申万宏源:首予中联重科(01157)“买入”评级 打造具身智能第三成长曲线
智通财经网·2025-12-30 02:03

Core Viewpoint - The report from Shenwan Hongyuan indicates that Zoomlion (01157) is expected to see significant revenue and profit growth from 2025 to 2027, with a projected revenue of 53.26 billion, 61.67 billion, and 70.78 billion yuan, and net profit of 4.85 billion, 6.30 billion, and 7.84 billion yuan respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 17.12%, 15.78%, and 14.77% for revenue, and 37.72%, 29.93%, and 24.46% for net profit [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Zoomlion is a leading brand in the engineering machinery sector and serves as a successful example of a mixed-ownership enterprise, having evolved from the Changsha Construction Machinery Research Institute, officially established in 1992 and listed on A-shares in 2000 [2] - The company has a core business in concrete and lifting machinery, with expansions into earth-moving machinery, agricultural machinery, aerial work machinery, mining machinery, and robotics, forming a diversified business system [2] - Zoomlion's main products cover 15 categories, 75 product series, and 745 models, with 29 domestic industrial parks and 10 overseas R&D and manufacturing bases, positioning itself as a pioneer in the internationalization of Chinese engineering machinery [2] Group 2: Market Dynamics - In the domestic market, the new construction area in real estate has declined for six consecutive years, but signs of a bottoming out may be emerging, with significant improvements in the utilization rate of construction equipment expected in the second half of 2025 [3] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" starting in 2026 is anticipated to stabilize and rebound infrastructure investment growth due to policy support and the concentration of "dual-heavy" projects [3] - In the overseas market, North America's engineering machinery inventory is nearing depletion, with new orders showing significant year-on-year improvement, while Europe maintains stable overall demand with growth driven by electrification products [3] Group 3: Product and Market Strategy - The revenue contribution from cranes and concrete machinery is expected to decrease from over 75% to around 50%, with earth-moving machinery, agricultural machinery, high-altitude machinery, and mining machinery continuing to contribute incremental growth [4] - The company is implementing an "end-to-end, digital, localized" overseas strategy, having established over 30 primary business hubs and more than 430 secondary and tertiary outlets globally, employing approximately 5,000 local staff [4] - Future industry growth will leverage the trend of general artificial intelligence and the company's industrial technology accumulation, promoting the application of embodied intelligence in engineering machinery, agricultural machinery, and special equipment [4]