Jin Rong Jie·2025-12-30 05:44Core Insights - The Hong Kong IPO market experienced a strong recovery in 2025, regaining the top position globally in terms of fundraising, with over 110 companies raising nearly 300 billion HKD, surpassing both the New York Stock Exchange and NASDAQ for the first time in four years [1][2] - The year saw 19 A-share companies successfully list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, accounting for nearly 50% of the total IPO fundraising in Hong Kong, with several companies like CATL and Zijin Mining raising over 10 billion HKD each [1] - The market's robust supply was attributed to regulatory optimizations, including revisions to the listing rules that improved pricing mechanisms, attracting more high-quality issuers [1][2] Market Dynamics - Investor participation was notably high, with a significant increase in the average first-day return of new stocks to 40%, and a decrease in the overall failure rate compared to the previous year [2] - Foreign capital inflow was evident, with cornerstone investments from foreign investors reaching 28.6 billion HKD in the first half of 2025, more than double the amount from the same period in 2024 [2] - The market outlook for 2026 is optimistic, with expectations of an IPO fundraising midpoint of approximately 330 billion HKD, supported by a cycle of quality enterprises and ample capital [2] Structural Changes - A shift in industry structure was observed, with manufacturing sector IPOs leading in fundraising, contrasting with the previous year's dominance of consumer and TMT sectors [1] - The pricing and valuation expectations of newly listed companies have increased compared to previous years, indicating a more competitive market environment [1] Market Segmentation - Signs of market differentiation began to emerge, with an increase in the first-day failure rate of new stocks as the IPO pace accelerated and liquidity conditions tightened [3] - Individual investors have started to adjust their strategies, opting for more certain investment targets amid changing market conditions [3] - Despite the significant increase in total IPO fundraising in 2025, it has not yet surpassed the high levels seen in 2020-2021, which exceeded 330 billion HKD [3]