沉溺“灰色手段”，日本欲成“能战国家”

Group 1 - The Japanese government approved a record defense budget exceeding 9 trillion yen for the fiscal year 2026, which will account for over 2% of GDP when combined with additional defense spending expected in the first half of the following year [1] - The government is using "gray zone" tactics to create a narrative of external threats regarding Taiwan, seeking justification for the development of offensive military capabilities and transitioning from a "defensive-only" posture to an "able-to-fight" nation [1][4] Group 2 - Historically, Japan has employed "gray zone" tactics to circumvent the constraints of its "peace constitution," gradually breaking through restrictions on military capabilities and weapon exports [2] - Japan has used various justifications, such as technical cooperation and peacekeeping, to maintain flexibility in defense policy while avoiding direct confrontation with international norms [3] - The recent shift in Japan's defense policy reflects a strategic imbalance between its current capabilities and ambitions, leading to a reliance on "gray zone" strategies to accumulate leverage in geopolitical negotiations [4]