智通财经网·2025-12-30 06:55Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic industry is moving towards high-quality development with a focus on "anti-involution," as indicated by the recent industry conference and the consensus among major enterprises in the sector [1][2][3]. Group 1: Industry Conference Insights - The 2025 Photovoltaic Industry Annual Conference was held in Xi'an, focusing on "breaking the involution dilemma and promoting high-quality sustainable development" [2]. - Key representatives from the National Energy Administration, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, and Ministry of Commerce participated, discussing the development path for the photovoltaic industry during the critical transition from the 14th to the 15th Five-Year Plan [2]. Group 2: Regulatory Focus for 2026 - The industry governance will enter a critical phase in 2026, with six key areas of focus including capacity regulation, price monitoring, innovation promotion, standard system improvement, industry self-discipline, and international cooperation [3]. - The regulatory bodies emphasized the need for a shift from quantity expansion to quality improvement, signaling a strong commitment to high-quality development [3]. Group 3: Industry Consensus and Actions - Major enterprises in the photovoltaic sector are responding positively to policy calls, achieving a consensus on "anti-involution" and strictly controlling production [4]. - From January to October, the production of polysilicon and silicon wafers saw significant declines, with polysilicon production down 29.6% year-on-year to approximately 1.113 million tons, marking the first decline since 2013 [4]. Group 4: Initial Effects of "Anti-Involution" - The initial effects of the "anti-involution" actions are becoming evident, with prices stabilizing despite a decline in demand; in November, the price of photovoltaic modules increased by 1.3% year-on-year, and the average factory price of polysilicon rose by 34.4% [5]. - The revenue of 31 listed companies in the photovoltaic sector decreased by 17% year-on-year in the first three quarters of 2025, but the decline is narrowing, indicating a positive shift in market sentiment [5]. - The total market capitalization of these companies increased by 37% from the end of May to the end of November, reflecting a change in external pessimistic expectations [5]. Group 5: Investment Recommendations - Investment opportunities are suggested in companies like GCL-Poly Energy and Junda Co., which have competitive advantages in their respective segments [5]. - GCL-Poly's unique granular silicon technology offers significant cost advantages in the polysilicon segment, while Junda Co. leads in TOPCON technology and is expanding into perovskite tandem cells and space photovoltaics [5].