金杯电工(002533)：盈利能力稳健 出海步伐加速

Financial Performance - In Q1-Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 14.77 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.9%; net profit attributable to shareholders was 460 million yuan, up 8.7%; and net profit excluding non-recurring items was 420 million yuan, an increase of 11.7%. The gross margin was 10.4%, a decrease of 0.16 percentage points, and the net margin was 3.6%, down 0.13 percentage points [1] - In Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 5.43 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.3% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 3.7%; net profit attributable to shareholders was 170 million yuan, up 11.05% year-on-year and 4.9% quarter-on-quarter; net profit excluding non-recurring items was 150 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 29.3% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 3.4%. The gross margin was 10.4%, a year-on-year increase of 0.684 percentage points and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 0.14 percentage points; the net margin was 3.6%, up 0.07 percentage points year-on-year and 0.08 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [1] - By industry segment, the electromagnetic wire segment achieved revenue of 5.815 billion yuan in Q1-Q3, a year-on-year increase of 21%; the cable segment achieved revenue of 8.870 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13%. After facing profit pressure in the first half of the year, the cable segment saw a net profit increase of over 25% year-on-year in Q3 [1] Capacity Expansion and Strategic Initiatives - The company is ramping up production capacity for industrial cables, with a planned output value of 1 billion yuan. The main engineering construction was completed in Q2, and capacity release is progressing as scheduled in Q3. Currently, some equipment has been put into production, capable of manufacturing cables for AC charging piles, DC/liquid-cooled DC charging piles, in-vehicle high-voltage wires, and industrial robot cables, with a year-on-year increase in shipment value of approximately 200% in the first three quarters [2] - The company is accelerating its overseas expansion, with the Czech Republic selected as the first overseas production base. This strategic move aims to capitalize on global energy transformation and European grid upgrades, with plans to establish an intelligent production base with an annual capacity of 20,000 tons of electromagnetic wire [2] - The company has institutionalized a high dividend payout ratio of "not less than 50% of the distributable profits for the year" in its articles of association, signaling a strong commitment to returning value to shareholders [2] Investment Outlook - The company's main business remains stable, and the overseas business is expected to accelerate. The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 and 2026 has been adjusted to 660 million yuan and 760 million yuan, respectively, corresponding to a PE ratio of 14 and 12 times. The net profit for 2027 is projected to be 870 million yuan, corresponding to a PE ratio of 10 times, maintaining a "buy" rating [3]