Traders Warn Bitcoin Price Could Fall to $40,000 — Even as Strategy Adds Another $100M

Group 1: Market Trends and Price Movements - Bitcoin's price is currently at $87,403, down nearly 3% in the last 24 hours, with warnings of a potential "mega crash" towards the $40,000 level [1] - Concerns about a deeper pullback have intensified, with comparisons made to the 2021 market peak, suggesting Bitcoin is following a four-year boom-and-bust cycle [2][3] - Despite the volatility, Strategy has made a significant purchase of $108.8 million worth of Bitcoin [6] Group 2: Industry Perspectives on Market Cycles - Prominent industry figures, including Fundstrat's Tom Lee, argue that the traditional four-year cycle is no longer a reliable framework for understanding Bitcoin's market dynamics [4] - Lee noted that Bitcoin's recent price action, which included a 36% rise earlier in the year followed by a sharp decline, indicates a shift away from historical cycle patterns [5] - The decline in Bitcoin's price is attributed more to structural factors, such as market deleveraging, rather than halving dynamics [7] - Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood also supports the view that the four-year cycle is being disrupted [8]