东证指数创36年来年终新高！年末行情显韧性 企业治理改革推动下明年或跑赢日经225

Core Viewpoint - The Japanese stock market, represented by the TOPIX and Nikkei 225 indices, has shown significant growth in 2025, with the TOPIX closing at 3408.97 points, surpassing its previous high in 1989, and the Nikkei 225 reaching 50339.48 points, marking a new annual high for the second consecutive year. Both indices have recorded substantial year-to-date gains of 22% and 26% respectively, indicating a robust recovery and investor interest in Japanese equities [1][4]. Group 1 - The TOPIX index experienced a notable rebound after a sharp decline in April due to trade war concerns, driven by improved corporate earnings, government fiscal stimulus, and a favorable global liquidity environment [4]. - The interest in Japanese stocks has expanded to include small-cap stocks, with mid-cap and small-cap segments of the TOPIX rising by 27% and 26% respectively, outperforming large-cap stocks which gained 21% since 2022 [4]. - The chief strategist at Nomura Asset Management highlighted that the new high for the TOPIX indicates an expanding buying base in the Japanese stock market, with a trend of valuation recovery across various sectors [4]. Group 2 - Key drivers of the 2025 market growth include companies like Advantest and SoftBank Group, with Advantest's market capitalization surpassing 10 trillion yen and a year-to-date increase of approximately 114%, benefiting from sustained AI spending [5]. - SoftBank Group has also seen its stock price rise over 90% this year, as its investments in OpenAI have positioned it as a critical indicator of market confidence in the non-public company [6]. - Despite the Nikkei 225's long-term outperformance, the recent resilience of the TOPIX suggests it may outperform the Nikkei 225 in 2026, driven by planned revisions to corporate governance guidelines that encourage companies to utilize cash and improve price-to-book ratios [6].