从克宫到普京官邸，无人机究竟击中了什么

Core Viewpoint - The incident involving the drone attack on Putin's residence near Lake Valdai is characterized as a significant political provocation, with both Russia and Ukraine presenting conflicting narratives regarding the event's implications and motivations [3][4][6]. Group 1: Incident Details - On the night of December 28 to 29, 91 long-range drones targeted Putin's residence, all of which were intercepted by Russian air defense systems [3]. - The Russian government labeled the attack as "state terrorism" by Ukraine, indicating a potential shift in their negotiation stance [3][4]. - Ukrainian President Zelensky quickly refuted the claims, suggesting that Russia's narrative was fabricated to undermine peace talks and justify potential aggression against Kyiv [3][4]. Group 2: Analysis of Motivations - Russian scholars view the attack as a calculated provocation by Ukraine, aimed at demonstrating its capability to strike deep into Russian territory and to provoke a strong Russian response that could be framed as excessive [4]. - Conversely, some Western analysts argue that the attack may be more of an information warfare tactic by Moscow, especially given the recent positive developments in U.S.-Ukraine relations [4][6]. Group 3: Political Implications - The choice of target, being a personal residence rather than a state power center, raises the stakes of the incident, directly challenging the personal security of the leader [6]. - The timing of the attack is particularly sensitive, coinciding with ongoing tensions in negotiations and recent public appearances by Zelensky and Trump, which could escalate political tensions further [7]. - The incident is seen as a "poison" to the negotiation atmosphere, increasing the costs of compromise and potentially solidifying hardline positions on both sides [7][8].