Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-12-30 11:04Group 1: Copper Market Insights - The copper supply is currently constrained due to resource nationalism and supply chain disruptions, leading to an uneven global copper inventory distribution [1][3] - As major economies stabilize, the mismatch between supply and demand is expected to transition from anticipation to reality, with strong market sentiment driving copper prices upward [1][3] - The US economy shows positive performance and optimism, while domestic copper demand is expected to remain resilient through 2026, contributing to the bullish market outlook [1][3] Group 2: Aluminum Market Dynamics - Aluminum has transitioned from a traditional bulk raw material to a core carrier of energy value, which supports the long-term bullish trend and upward price movement of aluminum [2][4] - Current aluminum price increases are partially driven by rising copper prices, but future growth may be supported by the mean reversion of the copper-aluminum ratio and increased demand for aluminum as a substitute for copper [2][4] - The lithium market is projected to experience simultaneous supply and demand growth by 2026, although potential mismatches in the release timing of supply and demand should be monitored [2][4]