EXCLUSIVE: 'Bull Run Continues, But The Stampede Is Not Going To Be There' In 2026, Says Market Expert

Core Viewpoint - The S&P 500 is expected to experience single-digit growth in 2026, with predictions of gains between 3% to 5%, leading to an index level around 7,200 to 7,300, amid uncertainties such as tariff issues and Federal Reserve dynamics [2][3][4]. Group 1: Market Predictions - The S&P 500 reached multiple all-time highs in 2025, including a record during the Christmas week [1]. - Jay Woods predicts the S&P 500 will finish in the range of 7,200 to 7,300 in 2026, indicating a year of modest growth [2][3]. - The index is currently up 17.7% year-to-date in 2025, marking one of the best performances in recent years [7][8]. Group 2: Economic Factors - Tariff uncertainty is highlighted as a potential stumbling block for market performance in 2026 [3][4]. - CPI data has missing components that could affect market perceptions, particularly regarding shelter and food prices influenced by tariffs [3]. - The Federal Reserve's independence and potential changes in leadership are expected to create volatility in the market [4][5]. Group 3: Historical Context - Woods accurately predicted a 12% to 15% increase for the S&P 500 in 2025, with the index closing around 6,900 [5][6]. - The S&P 500's performance in 2025 is noted as the fourth-best in the last five years and the seventh-best in the last decade [8].