Quan Jing Wang·2025-12-30 14:47Core Viewpoint - The collaboration between China Merchants Securities and ten major fund companies aims to enhance investor knowledge of ETFs and promote healthy market development, particularly focusing on the opportunities within the Hong Kong internet sector driven by AI advancements [1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The Hong Kong internet sector has experienced significant fluctuations over the past three years, influenced by regulatory policies, U.S. Federal Reserve monetary policy, and economic recovery from the pandemic [2][3] - Positive signals in domestic economic expectations and the Fed's shift to a dovish stance have created a favorable liquidity environment for the Hong Kong internet sector [3][4] Group 2: AI Industry Trends - The AI market is characterized by a technological breakthrough-driven industrial trend, with strong demand for computing power in the upstream and significant advancements in model technology in the midstream [2][5] - The release of Gemini3 marks a transition from "conversational interaction" to "action-oriented intelligence," complementing cost reductions in models like DeepSeek, which significantly lowers operational costs [5][6] Group 3: Investment Opportunities - The China Securities Hong Kong Internet Index is designed to capture leading companies in the sector, characterized by high concentration, balanced coverage across various applications, and a strong focus on AI [8][14] - The index includes 30 companies, with the top ten accounting for over 72% of its weight, providing a concentrated investment in leading firms while diversifying risk across different sectors [14][18] Group 4: Seasonal Market Behavior - Historical trends indicate that the end of the year often sees a "window dressing" effect, where fund managers adjust portfolios to showcase better-performing assets, potentially leading to increased capital inflows into popular sectors [11][12] - The end of the year is also a critical period for policy meetings, which can set the tone for future economic policies and enhance market risk appetite [11] Group 5: Valuation and Growth Potential - The Hong Kong internet sector currently presents a valuation discount compared to U.S. tech giants, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 22, indicating potential for valuation recovery as AI continues to develop [19][20] - The sector's long-term growth is supported by continuous technological iterations, deep integration of AI across various applications, and favorable government policies promoting AI development [13][20]