PPL vs. XEL: Which Utility Stock Looks Stronger for the Year Ahead?
ZACKS·2025-12-30 15:35

Industry Overview - The U.S. utility sector is experiencing rapid transformation due to rebounding electricity demand from data centers, AI computing, electrified transport, and domestic manufacturing [1] - Utilities are increasing investments in power generation, transmission networks, and grid upgrades to ensure reliable supply and support long-term growth [1] Transition to Clean Energy - Utilities are phasing out coal and investing in wind, solar, nuclear, and energy storage, driven by federal incentives and state decarbonization goals [2] - This transition is directing capital towards regulated assets that provide steady returns while reducing emissions [2] - A drop in interest rates to 3.5% to 3.75% is favorable for capital-intensive utility companies [2] Company Focus: PPL Corporation and Xcel Energy - PPL Corporation and Xcel Energy are U.S.-regulated electric utility companies heavily investing in grid infrastructure and renewable energy [3] - PPL emphasizes infrastructure upgrades and clean energy investments, supporting stable cash flows and dividends [4] - Xcel Energy's investment case is bolstered by strong capital spending, a clear clean-energy strategy, and rising customer demand [5] Earnings Estimates - PPL's Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 and 2026 EPS indicates year-over-year increases of 7.1% and 7.85%, respectively [7] - Xcel Energy's Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 and 2026 EPS indicates year-over-year increases of 9.1% and 7.98%, respectively [10] Financial Metrics - PPL's return on equity (ROE) is 9.08%, while Xcel Energy's ROE is 10.45% [9][11] - PPL and Xcel Energy plan to invest $20 billion and $60 billion, respectively, to strengthen their infrastructure [9] - PPL is trading at a P/E Forward 12-month of 18.01X, while Xcel Energy is at 17.99X [16][18] Dividend Yield and Debt Metrics - PPL's dividend yield is 3.11%, compared to Xcel Energy's 3.06% and the Zacks Utility-Electric Power yield of 2.84% [13] - PPL has a debt-to-capital ratio of 56.85%, while Xcel Energy's is 61.17% [14] - Both companies maintain a times interest earned (TIE) ratio above 1, indicating financial flexibility [15] Long-Term Investment Plans - PPL expects a regulated capital investment plan of $20 billion from 2025 to 2028, with significant potential demand in its Pennsylvania segment [20] - Xcel Energy aims to spend $60 billion from 2026 to 2030, focusing on electric distribution, generation, and natural gas operations [21] Conclusion - Both PPL Corporation and Xcel Energy are investing to upgrade infrastructure and expand assets, with increasing clean energy generation to meet rising customer demand [22] - Xcel Energy is viewed as having better potential going into 2026 due to better earnings estimates, valuation, ROE, and capital expenditure plans [23]

PPL vs. XEL: Which Utility Stock Looks Stronger for the Year Ahead? - Reportify