Stifel's Bannister explains the two factors that saved the economy this year

Core Viewpoint - The market is experiencing a consolidation phase with potential for both upward and downward movements, influenced by price earnings ratios and economic conditions [3]. Market Predictions - The S&P 500 is projected to range between 6,500 and 7,500, with current levels near 7,000, indicating optimism but also caution regarding big tech cyclical growth [2][3]. Investment Opportunities - Defensive sectors such as waste management and food, beverage, and tobacco are seen as potential hedges against big tech exposure, with specific companies like Republic Services and Philip Morris highlighted [4]. - Healthcare and biotech are expected to benefit significantly from AI advancements, providing a defensive mode around their products [5]. - Growth opportunities are identified in software, which appears more favorable compared to other internet names [5]. Economic Insights - Capital spending on AI has been crucial in supporting the economy, particularly in 2025, amidst concerns of a K-shaped economy that is politically unsustainable [6][7]. - The consumer sector, accounting for approximately 68% of GDP, is under scrutiny, with capital expenditures and AI potentially counterbalancing consumer weaknesses [6]. - Unemployment trends are being monitored as indicators of broader economic health, with implications for inflation risks [7][8].