智通财经网·2025-12-31 02:45Core Viewpoint - The AI industry is expected to transition from divergence to consensus in performance trends by 2025, with 2026 anticipated to be a significant year for domestic hard technology advancements [2] Group 1: AI Industry Trends - The AI large model's reasoning capabilities are continuously iterating, forming a closed loop with edge applications, while the demand for computing and storage hardware remains high [1] - The electronic industry's downturn since 2021 is showing signs of recovery, with a notable performance boost driven by AI innovations [2] - The global capital expenditure of the eight major cloud service providers (CSPs) is projected to grow by 40% to over $600 billion by 2026, with AI server shipments expected to increase by 20.9% [3] Group 2: Computing and Storage - Domestic chip manufacturers are actively updating their products, with Huawei planning to launch the Ascend 950PR in Q1 2026 and the Atlas 950 SuperPoD in Q4 2026 [4] - The demand for DRAM is expected to increase by 26% year-on-year in 2026, driven by AI needs, while NAND shortages are anticipated to persist, with prices rising over 40% from September to December 2025 [4] Group 3: Power and Connectivity - The optimization of data transfer and communication within servers is becoming a crucial breakthrough for enhancing computing power, with the global high-speed interconnect chip market expected to grow at a CAGR of 21.2% from 2024 to 2030 [5] - The power consumption of data center chips is projected to increase significantly, necessitating advancements in power supply architectures towards HVDC solutions [6] Group 4: AI Edge Applications - The evolution of AI from a tool to an autonomous agent capable of understanding user intent is reshaping human-computer interaction, with various consumer electronics expected to integrate these capabilities [7] - Major tech companies are expected to drive market sentiment and investment consensus through continuous exploration and innovation in AI hardware [7] Group 5: Semiconductor Industry - China's semiconductor sales are projected to account for 28% of the global market by 2024, but the domestic supply ratio remains low at 4.5% [8] - The semiconductor sector is experiencing a recovery phase, with significant growth expected in AI data centers and applications like autonomous driving and humanoid robots [8] Group 6: Key Companies to Watch - Companies such as Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation, Industrial Fulian, and Cambrian are highlighted as key players in the semiconductor and AI sectors [9]