半导体设备，2026，“卖铲人”的盛宴

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Changxin Technology's IPO acceptance signals a clear indication of a significant storage cycle expected in 2025-2026 [1] - The IPO aims to raise 29.5 billion yuan, focusing on upgrading manufacturing lines and DRAM technology, which will trigger a wave of equipment procurement in the upstream supply chain [1] - The AI-driven demand for computing power is expected to exacerbate the "storage wall" issue, with the DRAM market projected to see continuous revenue growth starting in 2025, potentially lasting until 2029 [1] Group 2 - The semiconductor equipment sector is positioned at a rare historical juncture, benefiting from AI innovation, inventory cycles, and domestic substitution demands across various segments [2] - The global semiconductor manufacturing equipment sales are projected to reach $133 billion in 2025, marking a 13.7% year-on-year increase, with further growth expected in subsequent years [2] - The semiconductor equipment ETF (561980) has shown strong performance, with the highest maximum increase and lowest maximum drawdown among major semiconductor indices since 2018 [5][6] Group 3 - The semiconductor equipment sector is anticipated to be a crucial technology theme in 2026, combining strong certainty and elasticity in investment opportunities [6]