假期出行热潮点燃航空股，元旦订单大增

Core Viewpoint - The aviation sector is experiencing a surge in stock performance due to increased consumer travel demand ahead of the New Year holiday, indicating strong market confidence in the industry's recovery [1][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - Hong Kong aviation stocks showed a positive trend, with China Southern Airlines up 4.30%, Air China up 3.65%, and China Eastern Airlines slightly up 4.52% as of the morning close [1]. - In the A-share market, China Eastern Airlines rose by 4.06%, while other airlines like Air China and China Southern Airlines also saw increases, reflecting strong investor confidence in the aviation industry's recovery [1]. Group 2: Demand and Pricing Trends - There is a significant increase in travel intentions for the New Year holiday (January 1-3), with a notable rise in ticket bookings from major cities to popular destinations [3]. - The average economy class ticket price for the 2026 New Year holiday reached 597 yuan, a 6.7% increase compared to the same period in 2025, indicating a positive trend in both volume and pricing [3]. Group 3: Cost and Profitability Factors - The decline in oil prices has alleviated the fuel cost pressure for airlines, which is a major operational expense [3]. - The appreciation of the Chinese yuan is expected to provide significant foreign exchange gains for airlines with substantial dollar-denominated debts [3]. Group 4: Investment Outlook - Multiple brokerages have indicated that the aviation sector currently holds high investment value, with expectations of sustained support for air transport volumes due to flexible holiday arrangements [4]. - The upcoming Spring Festival holiday is anticipated to trigger a second wave of stock price increases in the aviation sector, especially if ticket prices exceed expectations [4]. - The aviation industry is positioned to benefit from supply-side reforms, with a slowdown in aircraft deliveries expected to tighten supply, while domestic economic recovery and consumer demand are projected to remain robust [5].