大利好!刚刚发布
Zhong Guo Ji Jin Bao·2025-12-31 05:40

Core Viewpoint - In December 2025, China's Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for manufacturing, non-manufacturing, and composite output all rose above the expansion threshold, indicating an overall recovery in the economic climate [2][6]. Manufacturing PMI - The manufacturing PMI reached 50.1%, marking its first rise above the expansion threshold since April, with 16 out of 21 surveyed industries showing improvement [3][7]. - The production index and new orders index were at 51.7% and 50.8%, respectively, both showing significant increases of 1.7 and 1.6 percentage points from the previous month [3][10]. - Large enterprises saw a PMI of 50.8%, up 1.5 percentage points, while medium and small enterprises reported PMIs of 49.8% and 48.6%, indicating varying levels of economic recovery [3][10]. Non-Manufacturing PMI - The non-manufacturing business activity index was 50.2%, an increase of 0.7 percentage points, indicating a return to expansion [5][19]. - The construction sector's business activity index rose to 52.8%, up 3.2 percentage points, reflecting significant improvement due to favorable weather and pre-holiday construction activity [5][16]. - The service sector's business activity index was at 49.7%, showing a slight increase but remaining below the expansion threshold [5][19]. Composite PMI - The composite PMI output index reached 50.7%, an increase of 1.0 percentage point, indicating overall expansion in production and business activities [6][24]. - The manufacturing production index and non-manufacturing business activity index were 51.7% and 50.2%, respectively, contributing to the composite index's rise [6][24]. Industry-Specific Insights - High-tech manufacturing PMI was at 52.5%, indicating a positive growth trend, while energy-intensive industries reported a PMI of 48.9%, still below the expansion threshold [4][10]. - The expectation index for production and business activities rose to 55.5%, reflecting increased confidence among manufacturing enterprises regarding market development [4][21].