金价处于负压之下 强劲反弹可能性减小

Group 1 - The current spot gold price has surpassed $4,350, trading around $4,331.00 per ounce, showing bullish momentum supported by the key level of $4,350, despite being below the 50-day EMA, which limits strong short-term rebounds [1] - The Federal Reserve's FOMC meeting minutes indicate that most officials believe further rate cuts are appropriate as long as inflation declines over time, although there is disagreement on timing and magnitude [1] - The CME Group has raised margin requirements for gold, silver, and other metals, requiring traders to provide more cash to prevent defaults on contract settlements [1] Group 2 - Traders are anticipating the release of the U.S. initial jobless claims report, with economists predicting a slight increase to 220,000 claims for the week ending December 27, up from 214,000 the previous week [2] - Technically, gold prices have shown strong upward movement this month but are experiencing a notable pullback at the month-end, indicating potential for a larger correction towards the $4,000-$3,900 range or lower [2] - The bullish outlook for precious metals remains intact, with prices above the 100-day EMA and an expanding Bollinger Band, suggesting upward momentum [2] Group 3 - Initial support for gold is seen in the $4,305-$4,300 range, representing the low from December 29 and a key psychological level, with stronger corrections potentially dragging prices down to the December 16 low of $4,271 [3]