Core Viewpoint - Guosen Securities reports that Chery Automobile (09973) has a strong historical foundation and is entering a new chapter in its new energy and overseas business, with rapid revenue growth and stable profitability. The company has a diverse brand matrix and rich production capacity both domestically and internationally, initiating coverage with an "Outperform" rating [1]. Group 1: Company Overview - Chery Automobile was established in 1997 and has nearly 30 years of history, with its development divided into five stages, experiencing both stagnation and growth. By 2025, the company is expected to enter a new era with advancements in smart integration and new energy evolution [2]. - The company is transforming its R&D system from a project-oriented approach to a platform-empowered model, integrating three major smart platforms into a "Smart Center" by 2025 [2]. Group 2: Domestic Market Performance - The company’s hybrid products are experiencing rapid sales growth, although the overall penetration rate of new energy vehicles remains low compared to the industry. As of the first half of 2025, while the number of new energy models is high, individual model sales are insufficient [3]. - The launch of the A9L model in the second half of 2025 is expected to mark a new phase for the company’s new energy segment, with improved product capabilities and significant market performance [3]. - The main brand Chery focuses on a three-pronged strategy of channels, products, and technology, while sub-brands like iCAR and Jietu are targeting specific market segments and adopting innovative operational strategies [3]. Group 3: Overseas Market Expansion - The company has an early overseas business layout and is currently in a phase of systematic and comprehensive international expansion. By 2025, it plans to deepen local production overseas, with several new production capacities set to launch [4]. - The company is shifting from a fuel vehicle export model to a multi-faceted, ecosystem-based international strategy, with extensive production and channel layouts and overseas R&D bases to meet regional demands and regulations [4]. - In Southeast Asia, the company is increasing resource investment to establish a significant overseas base, while in Europe, it has achieved localized production and is entering a phase of rapid growth [4]. Group 4: Financial Projections - Revenue forecasts for the company from 2025 to 2027 are projected at 301.46 billion, 361.66 billion, and 410.74 billion yuan, with growth rates of 11.70%, 19.97%, and 13.57% respectively. Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 18.60 billion, 21.41 billion, and 25.44 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 31.6%, 15.1%, and 18.9% respectively. Earnings per share are projected to be 3.20, 3.69, and 4.38 yuan [4].
国信证券:首次覆盖奇瑞汽车(09973)给予“优于大市”评级 自主品牌先驱再进化