Market Overview - The A-share market showed a strong upward trend last week, with major indices generally rising. The market style continued to favor resource products and technology growth, while consumer sectors experienced a pullback [1][6]. Macroeconomic Analysis - The national fiscal work conference indicated that a more proactive fiscal policy will continue in 2026, focusing on expanding fiscal spending and ensuring necessary expenditure. Key tasks include promoting domestic demand, boosting consumption, and increasing investment in new productive forces [2][7]. - From January to November, the total profit of industrial enterprises above designated size reached 66,268.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.1%. The manufacturing sector led with a profit of 50,317.9 billion yuan, growing by 5.0% [2][7]. International Economic Context - In the third quarter, U.S. economic data exceeded expectations, with a GDP annualized growth rate of 4.3%, compared to an expected 3.3%. The resilience of the U.S. economy is attributed to strong personal consumption and public spending [3][8]. Investment Strategy - The market is expected to take a significant step forward as the year ends, supported by a systemic decline in risk-free interest rates and an anticipated surge in asset management demand. The capital market reforms are enhancing the investability of Chinese assets [4][9]. - Investment directions include technology growth, financial services, and cyclical sectors. Specific areas of interest are AI and computing infrastructure, as well as consumer stocks showing signs of recovery [4][9]. Domestic Demand Focus - The expectation for policies to expand domestic demand is strengthening, positioning it as a key theme alongside technology. The central government aims to build a strong domestic market and explore new growth spaces in emerging consumption and tourism sectors [5][10].
长城基金汪立：跨年攻势开启，关注科技与内需轮动
Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-12-31 08:47