Xin Lang Ji Jin·2025-12-31 09:59Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has shown strong performance in 2025, with significant gains in various sectors, particularly in the non-ferrous metals and military industries, indicating a positive outlook for 2026. Non-Ferrous Metals Sector - The non-ferrous metals sector achieved the highest annual growth rate in 2025, with the non-ferrous ETF Huabao (159876) rising by 91.67%, significantly outperforming major indices like the Shanghai Composite Index, which rose by 18.41% [10][19]. - Key stocks in the non-ferrous sector, such as Zijin Mining, Jiangxi Copper, and Luoyang Molybdenum, saw substantial price increases, with Zijin Mining up by 133.09% and Jiangxi Copper up by 176.92% [10][6]. - The sector's strong performance is attributed to a combination of global capital expenditure cycles, manufacturing recovery, and improved domestic macroeconomic expectations [8][10]. Military Industry - The military sector, particularly the commercial aerospace segment, has gained significant traction, with the military ETF Huabao (512810) rising over 32% in 2025, marking its second-best annual performance since its inception [13][16]. - Major stocks in the military sector, including GuoBo Electronics and China Satellite, experienced notable gains, with several stocks hitting the daily limit [14][13]. - The military industry is expected to continue its upward trajectory in 2026, driven by increased military demand and advancements in commercial aerospace [16][13]. Chemical Sector - The chemical sector also performed well, with the chemical ETF (516020) showing a 41.09% increase in 2025, outperforming major indices [20][19]. - The lithium battery supply chain has seen a significant rise in both price and demand, with prices for lithium carbonate reaching 116,000 yuan per ton, indicating a robust market outlook [22][20]. - The sector is expected to benefit from ongoing macroeconomic recovery and supply-side policy advancements, with a focus on key areas such as phosphates and semiconductor materials [22][20].