BofA Cuts Parsons Target After FAA Contract Loss but Maintains Buy

Core Viewpoint - BofA Securities has lowered its price target on Parsons to $90 from $95 while maintaining a Buy rating due to the company's loss of a significant FAA contract to Peraton, highlighting a shift towards a "software-first" approach in government procurement [1] Group 1: Contract Loss and Market Reaction - Parsons lost the Brand New Air Traffic Control System (BNATCS) integration contract to Peraton, which surprised many observers [1] - BofA noted that the FAA emphasized Peraton's software and digital capabilities as a key differentiator in the contract award [1] - The stock's negative reaction to the contract loss was viewed as overdone, with BofA arguing that Parsons' fundamentals remain solid, particularly in defense and critical infrastructure [3] Group 2: Financial Implications - BofA highlighted that Peraton's bid for the contract totaled $1.5 billion, and mentioned a potential $200 million "Trump discount" that could impact early-year profitability for the contract [2] - The firm has adjusted its earnings per share (EPS) estimates for Parsons, forecasting adjusted EPS of $3.25 for 2025, $3.40 for 2026, and $3.85 for 2027, reflecting a slower appropriations environment following the government shutdown [3]