分析:供应过剩局面难改 油价2026年初料进一步走低
Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-12-31 11:22

Core Viewpoint - Oil prices are expected to decline by approximately 20% in 2025 due to ongoing market oversupply, with prices likely remaining under pressure in the early part of the year [1][2]. Group 1: Market Conditions - Traders are closely monitoring the upcoming OPEC+ meeting, where the cartel is expected to reaffirm its current production plans, indicating a relatively loose supply-demand environment following a recent increase in supply [1]. - Prior to the OPEC+ meeting, official data on the U.S. market conditions will be released, with the American Petroleum Institute reporting an increase in crude oil and refined product inventories [1]. Group 2: Price Projections - The Brent crude oil price started 2025 at approximately $75 per barrel but fell to $58.40 during the year [2]. - As 2026 approaches, the spot market may see even lower prices, although sporadic geopolitical conflicts could provide short-term price boosts [2].

分析:供应过剩局面难改 油价2026年初料进一步走低 - Reportify